Gold News: XAU/USD Tests 50-Day Moving Average – Breakout or Pullback Ahead?

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Gold is supported by the softer greenback and secure haven demand

Earlier within the session, gold hit a three-week peak, supported by a weaker US greenback and elevated secure haven inflows. Spot gold rose about 1.3% this week whereas the greenback index (DXY) fell 0.4%, making gold extra engaging to overseas traders. Geopolitical tensions additionally fueled demand, with Israeli airstrikes in Gaza and Russian drone strikes on Kiev including to the uncertainty.

Analysts famous that issues about inflationary pressures associated to the anticipated insurance policies of newly-elected US President Donald Trump are additionally rising gold’s attraction. “Markets are contemplating the potential of larger inflation as Trump’s insurance policies may result in commerce wars and tariffs,” mentioned Han Tan, chief market analyst at Exinity Group. Gold’s status as a hedge in opposition to inflation and geopolitical dangers continues to help costs.

Fed coverage and Treasury yields are impacting gold prospects

The Federal Reserve’s financial coverage stays an necessary issue for gold merchants. After three fee cuts in 2024, the Fed has introduced solely two cuts for 2025, limiting downward strain on the greenback. Authorities bond yields mirror this sentiment, with the 10-year bond ending 2024 at 4.5% after fluctuating all year long. Decrease yields are likely to help gold by reducing the chance value of holding non-yielding belongings.

Buyers are intently watching financial knowledge, together with the ISM Manufacturing PMI, due out in a while Friday. A studying above 50% signifies development, doubtlessly dampening gold’s momentum. Conversely, weaker knowledge may strengthen the case for additional fee cuts, supporting treasured metals.

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The energy of the greenback limits gold’s upside potential

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